Tuesday, February 14, 2006

The long plateau of peak oil

Oil's peak will be signaled by a decade-long plateau in non-OPEC member production

When might the peak of world oil production arrive, and what might be the peak production rate? These are key questions, with many unknowns but few equations. The most we can do is to make some educated guesses based on past observations.

Global oil production's peak will probably not form a well-defined crest. Instead, it will likely stretch out as an irregular plateau. I will crawl out onto the limb to say that the plateau might begin around 2010 and extend to 2020.

( For the complete story, Click here )

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